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Dec. 16, 2024

Market Size Report: Beehiiv

Calculating the market size of Beehiiv with Aurora


Market Size Calculator (TAM SAM SOM)

Have you ever wondered what the market size was for your company? Ever thought of a product idea and been curious how huge it could be? Ever watched an episode of Shark Tank and thought "How in the world did that product get so popular?" Well, here at Aurora we sure did! That's why we set out to build our Market Size Calculator. Within as little as 5 minutes, you can now get a custom market sizing report based on verifiable data and transparent calculations. Our top AI market research tools combine GenAI with validated, traceable data sets to create a one-of-a-kind report in minutes, not weeks.

We have long admired the team over at Beehiiv and decided to run a market sizing report for their business.

Please see the report Aurora generated below, and if you have any thoughts or questions you can email us here

 

Market Size Figures

Total Addressable Market (TAM):

Customers/Users: 20.7M

Revenue: $2.07B - $4.14B

Serviceable Addressable Market (SAM):

Customers/Users: 559K - 1.12M

Revenue: $112.5M - $224.9M

 

Executive Summary

The newsletter industry presents a promising market opportunity, driven by the growing demand for digital publishing and content monetization. According to the analysis, the Total Addressable Market (TAM) for newsletter platforms is estimated to range between $2.07 billion and $4.14 billion in potential annual revenue, with a total of 20.7 million potential newsletter creators worldwide.

When considering the Serviceable Addressable Market (SAM), which accounts for an adoption rate of 27% and various pricing tiers, the potential annual revenue range narrows to $112.5 million to $224.9 million. This SAM revenue range is based on Beehiiv capturing a 10-20% market share of the addressable market, which consists of 558,900 to 1,117,800 potential customers across different pricing tiers.

The competitive landscape is populated by various newsletter platforms, each offering unique features and pricing models. Key players include Substack, MailerLite, Ghost, Mailchimp, AWeber, Flodesk, ConvertKit, Omnisend, and Campaign Monitor. These platforms cater to different segments of the market, ranging from free offerings to enterprise-level solutions.

Furthermore, the analysis highlights relevant behavioral data, such as email usage preferences, newsletter engagement rates, content creator behavior, platform preferences, monetization strategies, and AI adoption trends. This data provides valuable insights into the target audience's preferences and behaviors, which can inform product development and marketing strategies.

Overall, the newsletter industry presents a significant growth opportunity, driven by the increasing demand for digital content, creator monetization, and the global reach of email marketing. Beehiiv's position in this market will depend on its ability to differentiate its offerings, leverage emerging trends, and effectively target the addressable market segments.

 

Key Data Points

  1. Total number of potential newsletter creators: 207 million content creators worldwide [4][5][6]
  2. Number of active newsletter creators: 26,345 active email newsletter creators globally [7]
  3. Total addressable market size:
    • Global email marketing industry size in 2023: $11 billion [2]
    • Global digital publishing market size in 2023: $46.48 billion [10]
    • Global creator economy value in 2023: $191.55 billion [13]
  4. Pricing tiers for Beehiiv: $0, $39, $99, and enterprise [idea]
  5. Beehiiv's user base: More than 400k publishers, with more than 212M unique readers [idea]
  6. Market growth rates:
    • Email marketing industry CAGR: 13.3% [67][68]
    • Digital publishing market CAGR: 11.4% [10]
    • Creator economy CAGR: 22.5% [13]
  7. Beehiiv's revenue: $13 million ARR as of April 2024 [41]
  8. Geographic distribution: Varied internet penetration rates across regions [33][34][35][36][37]

 

Market Size Calculations

Total Addressable Market (TAM) Calculations:

 

Serviceable Addressable Market (SAM) Calculations:

 

Assumptions

Proxy Data

  1. For adoption rates, we can use the percentage of creators planning to start a newsletter: 27% of creators planned to start a newsletter in 2025 [12]. This indicates a potential adoption rate for newsletter platforms.
  2. For pricing tier distribution, we can use industry averages:
    • Free tier: Typically accounts for 70-80% of users in freemium models
    • Paid tiers: Usually 20-30% of users opt for paid plans We'll assume 75% free, 20% for the $39 tier, 4% for the $99 tier, and 1% for enterprise.
  3. For geographic distribution, we can use internet penetration rates as a proxy for potential market distribution:
    • High-income countries: 93% [33]
    • Europe: 91% [35][36]
    • Asia: 75.3% (Eastern Asia) [34]
    • Africa: 38% [35][36] This suggests a higher concentration of potential users in high-income countries and Europe.

Assumptions

These assumptions are based on industry trends, available data points, and logical deductions from the given information. They provide a framework for estimating the TAM and SAM for Beehiiv.

 

Our Methodology / Thought Process

To calculate the Total Addressable Market (TAM) and Serviceable Addressable Market (SAM) for Beehiiv, a newsletter platform, we followed a structured approach based on available data and logical assumptions.

First, we identified the total potential market for newsletter creators by considering the broader content creator market. With 207 million content creators globally [4][5][6], we assumed a conservative 5-10% could potentially become newsletter creators, given the growing popularity of this format.

Next, we estimated the potential revenue for this market by considering industry benchmarks for pricing tiers and average revenue per user (ARPU). We assumed an ARPU range of $100-$200 per year for paid users, based on Beehiiv's pricing tiers. For the enterprise tier, we assumed an average price of $500 per month, aligning with typical SaaS enterprise pricing models.

To calculate the TAM, we multiplied the total potential newsletter creators by the ARPU range, resulting in a TAM revenue range of $2.07 billion to $4.14 billion annually. We also considered the geographic distribution of potential users, assuming a higher concentration in high-income countries and Europe based on internet penetration rates.

For the SAM calculation, we factored in the adoption rate for newsletter platforms, using a proxy of 27% of creators planning to start a newsletter in 2025 [12]. We then distributed the addressable market across Beehiiv's pricing tiers, assuming a typical freemium model distribution (75% free, 20% for the $39 tier, 4% for the $99 tier, and 1% for enterprise).

By calculating the revenue potential for each paid tier and summing them, we arrived at a total annual revenue estimate for the addressable market. Finally, we adjusted this figure based on Beehiiv's potential market share, assuming a range of 10-20% in the medium term, given its rapid growth and feature set.

The resulting SAM revenue range for Beehiiv is $112.46 million to $224.93 million annually, with a corresponding customer base of 558,900 to 1,117,800 users.

Throughout the process, we relied on various data points, industry benchmarks, and logical assumptions to bridge gaps in available information. This approach provides a structured framework for estimating the TAM and SAM for Beehiiv, while acknowledging the inherent uncertainties and limitations of such calculations.

 

Competitor Research Summary

Mailchimp:

Ghost:

Substack:

Klaviyo:

 

Summary of Collected Data

Financial Data

Global Email Marketing Industry Size:

Global Digital Publishing Market:

Creatory Economy:

Newsletter Monetization:

Content Marketing Industry:

Software Technology Market:

Content Management and Publishing Industry:

Digital Publishing Industry:

Newsletter Platform Revenue:

Marketing Technology Market:

 

Behavioral Data

Email Usage and Preferences:

Newsletter Engagement:

Content Creator Behavior:

Platform Preferences:

Monetization Behavior:

AI Adoption:

Mobile Usage:

Language Preferences:

Subscriber Behavior:

Industry-Specific Engagement:

These behavioral data points provide insights into how users interact with newsletters, email marketing, and content creation platforms, as well as preferences for different types of content and monetization strategies.

 

Demographic Data

Global Email Users:

Age Distribution:

Geographic Distribution:

Internet Penetration:

Content Creator Demographics:

Newsletter Creators and Readers:

Language Preferences:

Device Usage:

Income Levels:

Education Levels:

This demographic data provides insights into the global distribution, age groups, device preferences, and income levels of email users and content creators, which are relevant for understanding the potential market for newsletter platforms.

 

Competitor Data

Newsletter Platforms and Market Share:

Pricing Models:

User Base and Growth:

Features and Strengths:

Industry Trends:

This data provides an overview of the competitive landscape in the newsletter industry, highlighting key players, their features, pricing models, and overall industry trends.

 

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